Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot is the headline act as the UFC heads east to Atlantic City for its Easter Saturday show. Blanchfield is the betting favorite to win the Flyweight showdown, and she won’t want to get beaten in her New Jersey backyard by the French underdog. In our latest UFC betting picks, we look ahead to the fight, bring you the latest betting, and also tell you who will win.
What: UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Who: Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot
Where: Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, New Jersey
When: Saturday, March 30th, 2024
Time: 10 p.m. ET Main Card
For a second successive week, the ladies top the bill. Last Saturday, it was Amanda Ribas against Rose Namajunas. This Saturday, we see No.2 Flyweight Erin Blanchfield taking on No.3 Manon Fiorot.
Also on the card is a Welterweight co-main event between Vincente Luque (-110) and Joaquin Buckley (-110), Middleweight clashes between Chris Weidman (+240) and Bruno Silva (-280), along with Sedriques Dumas (+210) and Nursultan Ruziboev (-250), a Featherweight showdown between Bill Algeo (-225) and Kyle Nelson (+190), and finally a Welterweight clash between Chidi Njokuani (-145) and Rhys McKee (+125).
Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot betting
Erin Blanchfield is the favorite to win the fight on Saturday. In the latest UFC Vegas betting odds, Blanchfield is -180 on the money line. Manon Fiorot is +155 to hand Blanchfield her first defeat within the UFC promotion.
On the total line, over 4.5 is favored at -145. Under 4.5 rounds is +115. While in the betting for the fight to go the distance, yes is -105, no is -125.
To win the fight by TKO/KO/DQ, Fiorot is the favorite at +425, with Blanchfield at +750. For a points win, Blanchfield is +225, and Fiorot is +285. To win the fight via submission, Blanchfield is +210, with Fiorot at +2200. There is clear daylight in this market.
The best UFC betting sites have more Blanchfield vs. Fiorot betting options. They can be found below on our UFC odds table.
Erin Blanchfield has an overall MMA career of 12-1. Within the UFC organization, she is 6-0.
Six of the 24-year-old’s 12 victories have come by decision, with four submissions and two KOs. Her one defeat came by split decision, back in 2019 against Tracy Cortez in the Invicta FC promotion.
In her last three fights, Blanchfield defeated Molly McCann by submission at UFC 281 and Jessica Andrade by submission in February 2023. The rear-naked choke on Andrade won Blanchfield the Performance of the Night award. Her most recent fight was a unanimous decision victory over Taila Santos in August.
Blanchfield is a hard-working fighter with a high strike rate. Her punching power isn’t the strongest, and at this stage of her development, it is used as a tool to soften up opponents for a takedown attempt rather than for a KO.
As her record and the betting odds show, Blanchfield is strong on the mat, using her jiu-jitsu skills to suffocate opponents and wear them down.
She used this to good effect against Santos in her last fight, stopping the Brazilian fighting to her strengths and enabling Blanchfield to win on points.
Manon Fiorot Career Breakdown
Manon Fiorot has an MMA career of 11-1. Like Blanchfield, she is also 6-0 in the UFC promotion. Fiorot’s only career defeat came in her first fight, where she lost to Leah McCourt by a split decision on a Cage Warriors card in 2018.
Since that defeat, Fiorot has won 11 straight fights. The wins have come by a combination of six knockouts and five decisions. Her last four fights have all been won by unanimous decision, with the most recent coming against Rose Namajunas last September.
The 34-year-old is from Nice, France. Known as the beast, Fiorot is a big hitter. She has only recorded two KO wins in her six UFC fights, but the whole of the 125-pound weight division respects her undoubted punching power, along with her high output.
Fiorot isn’t afraid to take the fight to the mat. But looking at the record of the two ladies, this might not be a fight to employ those tactics.
Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot betting picks
The two combatants have similar fight records, but Erin Blanchfield has ten years on Fiorot. Blanchfield is also fighting in her hometown. This could inspire her, or it could add to the pressure. And at just 24 years of age, will Blanchfield have experienced anything like this before?
Quite clearly Blanchfield is superior on the mat. But Fiorot’s record shows that she has a good takedown defense. We would expect Blanchfield to be trying to take the fight to the mat. But we also see Fiorot’s defense playing a role in her attack, helping to catch the eyes of the judges.
Keeping Blanchfield at a distance will be key. So we believe Fiorot will fight to her strengths and use her punching power to push the younger American back. If it works, Fiorot wins the fight.
Our betting pick for the fight is a win for Manon Fiorot.
Dean has been writing betting tips for websites now for over 15 years. He started out writing and editing his own publications, but has now expanded to publishing articles on various well known websites where he covers everything from hot dog eating competitions to casino reviews.
Over the years Dean has learnt to adapt his skills. Using his extensive sports knowledge and his British sense of humor, Dean has developed into a trusted voice in the betting industry.