Brandon Moreno takes on Brandon Royval in the main event of UFC Fight Night 237. Local favorite Moreno is also the betting favorite with the bookmakers. And in this clash with Royval, he is looking to take down his American opponent for the second time. In our latest UFC betting picks, we look ahead to the fight and tell you if he can do it.
What: UFC Fight Night 237 (UFC Mexico City)
Who: Brandon Moreno vs. Brandon Royval 2
Where: Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico
When: Saturday, February 24th, 2024
Time: 10 pm ET (PPV Card)
The fight was supposed to be between Brandon Moreno and Amir Albazi. But the Iraqi fighter withdrew for unknown reasons, and. Brandon Royval was brought in as a replacement. Royval now has a free hit at gaining revenge on his Mexican opponent. This is after the two men previously met at UFC 255 in November 2020, with Moreno winning via a first-round TKO.
Also on the main card is a Flyweight contest between Yair Rodriguez (-146) and Brian Ortega (+126). This is also a rematch and is scheduled to be the co-main event. At Lightweight, Daniel Zellhuber (-260) takes on Francisco Prado (+220), and Manuel Torres (-190) is up against Chris Duncan (+165). While at Bantamweight, Raul Rosas Jr. (-214) takes on Ricky Turcios (+184). Representing the women is Yazmin Jauregui (-525) vs. Sam Hughes (+400). That fight takes place at Strawweight.
Yet again, another top-quality fight card brought to you by the UFC.
Brandon Moreno vs. Brandon Royval betting
Brandon Moreno will start the fight as the betting favorite. On the money line, Moreno is -290 to defeat Brandon Royval for a second time. Royval is +245 to gain revenge and silence the home crowd.
In the method of victory betting, Moreno is +160 to win on points, +320 to win by submission, and +400 to win by KO/TKO/DQ. The top sportsbooks see it the other way around for Brandon Royval. If the American is to win, they feel it will be by a knockout. Royval is +400 to win by KO/TKO/DQ, +700 to win on points, and +775 to win by submission.
In the over/under market, over 3.5 rounds is -145. UFC Vegas betting odds of +115 are available on the fight finishing before the 3.5-round mark.
Finally, the fight is +130 to go the distance and -160 to be stopped before the end of the 5th Round. More betting options are available below on our UFC odds table. All our odds are from the best UFC betting sites.
Brandon Moreno has a Mixed Martial Arts career record of 21-7-2. The Mexican is 30 years of age and in the prime of his career. This is backed up by his No.1 ranking in the division.
He has lost two of his last four fights and only won three of his last six. Included in these six fights are four against Brazil’s Deiveson Figueiredo. Moreno drew the first, won the second, and lost the third. With the record level, a fourth fight took place at UFC 283. This time, Moreno put the saga to bed once and for all, winning with a 3rd-round TKO to take the Flyweight title.
Sadly for Moreno, he couldn’t hold on to his belt. In his first fight as champion, he was dethroned by Alexandre Pantoja. The defeat at UFC 290 was the second time Moreno had lost to the Brazilian.
Brandon Royval Career Breakdown
Speaking of Alexandre Pantoja, and like Moreno, the last fight on Brandon Royval’s MMA record is also a loss to Pantoja. The Brazilian defeated Royval, successfully defending his title at UFC 296 just before Christmas. This was Royval’s third loss in his last six and snapped a three-fight winning streak.
Overall, Brandon Royval has an MMA record of 15-7. He has only had eight fights in the UFC, winning five and losing the three. The defeats have come at the hands of Moreno and Pantoja (twice).
The No.3 ranked Flyweight seems to have the beating of the majority of the division. But he seems to come up short against the elite fighters in his weight category.
Brandon Moreno vs. Brandon Royval betting picks
Both these fighters look very equally matched in so many departments. Both have excellent cardio, are good strikers, and are well-accomplished on the mat.
History tells us the chances of Royval winning on points look slim. His best chance has to be to go for a KO. But that’s easier said than done. The Mexican may have seven defeats on his Resume, but they are all via the judges’ scorecards. He has never been stopped, and that is why he is regarded so highly.
Both fighters have good cardio. So the chances are the fight will go beyond the 3.5-round mark. A bet on over 3.5 rounds at -145 looks safe.
As for the winner of the fight, we have to go for Brandon Moreno. He just looks the better of the two men. And unless he takes his eye off the ball, we can only see a win for the home favorite.
Our pick is for Brandon Moreno to win on points at +160.
Dean has been writing betting tips for websites now for over 15 years. He started out writing and editing his own publications, but has now expanded to publishing articles on various well known websites where he covers everything from hot dog eating competitions to casino reviews.
Over the years Dean has learnt to adapt his skills. Using his extensive sports knowledge and his British sense of humor, Dean has developed into a trusted voice in the betting industry.