We’re into Serie A matchday 19 as of this weekend and on Sunday, Jose Mourinho’s Roma will welcome a strong Atalanta side to the Stadio Olimpico for an important encounter. The kick-off is scheduled for 2:45 PM EST here. The hosts are coming off a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Juventus on Saturday and will be hoping to bounce back considering they’re not even in a European spot at the moment. As for Atalanta, they snatched three points on matchday 18 against Lecce but only sit a point above Roma in the table. Below, we’ll dive into the Roma vs Atalanta picks.
Before we get into the odds, match preview, and picks, check out the biggest Vegas online soccer betting sites if you plan to put money down on this match.
Roma sits at +145 odds on Sunday for an implied win probability of 40.82%. Atalanta comes back at +218 and has a 31.45% chance of coming out victorious. A draw is priced at an intriguing +220, which could offer serious value. As for recent meetings, Atalanta has won back-to-back games against Roma, outscoring them 4-1 in the process.
It’s not common for Mourinho to not be towards the top of the table, but that’s been far from the case since he arrived in Rome. The club is currently seventh with an 8-4-6 record but thankfully, they’re just five points out of a Champions League spot. Not all is lost quite yet. Just before Christmas, Roma notched an impressive win over Scudetto holders Napoli, but the side failed to replicate that result against Juve on Saturday. Adrien Rabiot’s 47th-minute goal proved to be the difference-maker, with the Giallorossi creating minimal opportunities in the final third.
Producing up top isn’t a huge issue for Roma, scoring 30 times in 18 games. But, there’s just not a lot of consistency across the board. Romelu Lukaku’s eight goals are a team-best, while Paulo Dybala has netted four and supplied six assists. When it comes to recent form, Mourinho’s squad is 2-1-2 in their last five games and clearly flourish at the Stadio Olimpico. Roma owns a 6-2-1 record on home turf compared to a 2-2-5 mark on the road.
Lukaku has been firing on all cylinders as of late during his loan spell from Chelsea, bagging four goals in his previous six appearances across all competitions. While he was quiet versus Juventus, Roma will need him to create some havoc on Sunday. He is essentially proving to be their talisman.
Atalanta is in a respectable position at the moment in sixth but their form on the road is quite concerning, compiling a 3-1-5 record as opposed to a 6-1-2 record in Bergamo. That being said, they’re playing great football lately, winning four of their last five games across all competitions. Saturday was a slim victory over Lecce, grabbing an important three points in the process.
Former Leicester City man Ademola Lookman scored the winner but did ultimately leave early with an undisclosed injury. The Nigerian has seven goals and three assists to his name this season in Serie A play, emerging as one of the team’s most key attackers. Gianluca Scamacca is also looking good with five goals and two assists.
La Dea tends to play well against Roma, which is a promising sign that a positive result can be secured here. They’ve only tasted defeat twice in the last eight meetings. Hopefully, Lookman is healthy enough to feature because he’s always a handful for opposing backlines.
I don’t have a lot of confidence in Roma, to be honest and Atalanta has been the far better side in recent memory in this clash. I’ll take the moneyline for the visitors.
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