Speculation about Joe Biden seems to be intensifying more and more as the days pass. Questions about the 80-year-old’s health are now becoming serious issues. And on top of that, he is now under pressure from an impeachment inquiry, as well as having to deal with constant speculation about his son, Hunter Biden. As a result of the growing pressure in our political betting picks, we are looking at the betting for when Biden is likely to leave office.
It’s remarkable what we can bet on in politics in America these days. There are many markets available for Donald Trump. I’m half expecting to be soon able to bet on what he eats for his breakfast.
And now, Joe Biden seems to be catching the former President up. It’s not just when Biden leaves office you can bet on. You can also bet on Biden to be indicted before the next election, on him to leave office via impeachment if he will serve a full term, and probably best of all if his son Hunter Biden will serve time in jail before 2025!
As much as that all sounds like a joke, is this now starting to become serious for Joe Biden? He has been seen to look weak on his feet lately. And he is also coming across badly in fumbling interviews and speeches. All this is bad enough. But throw in the likes of impeachments and Hunter Biden controversies, and things can quickly start to look worse.
Supporters of Biden will argue that he’s beaten Trump once, and he can beat him again. That’s fair enough, and in normal circumstances, the argument would probably stack up. But that was in 2020. And even back then, Biden’s age was a point of issue. So if he goes up against Trump again in 2024, as is expected, his age is only going to become an even bigger issue this time around. But this time, it could be a vote changer!
This all stacks up to why 2025 is the betting favorite (-140) for Joe Biden to leave office. Odds of +1000 on Biden to leave in 2023 and 2024 suggest that the best Vegas sportsbooks don’t see him being forced out any time soon.
But the short odds of -140 for 2025 to be the year could be for more than one reason. First, he might lose the 2024 Election. But if public opinion continues turning against him, he may agree to stand aside at the end of his first term.
| Date Joe Biden Leaves Office Betting |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | +1000 | -300 | -300 |
| 2024 | +1000 | +550 | +550 |
| 2025 | -140 | +900 | +900 |
| 2026 + | +155 | +1000 | +1000 |
He doesn’t want Donald Trump back in the Oval Office, and if Biden believes, or can be convinced, the best chance of keeping Trump out is for him to stand aside, there is a good chance he will do just that.
Currently, the latest betting odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election have Biden as the favorite at +150, with Trump at +215. But if things continue to go wrong for Biden, that could yet change.
At the moment, the -140 on Biden leaving office in 2025 looks like a solid betting pick.
Joe Biden is the -400 favorite to be the Democratic Nominee. This says that the sportsbooks haven’t got wind of any impending Democrat maneuvering behind the scenes.
Behind Biden in the betting is Gavin Newsome at +500, and check this out: Michelle Obama at +750. Kamala Harris is also in the running at +1200, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at +2000.
At the moment, this market seems stable. But this is where political betting opportunities could become available over the next few months.
If not Biden, then who? Have a good think about that, as there is a good possibility that one of the candidates in this market could see their odds whittled down over the next few weeks if the talk about the suitability of Biden for a second term in office gathers more momentum.
The Democrats know that Trump is a polarizing figure. And they also know that means he is beatable. They won’t want to hand him his return to the White House because their candidate isn’t deemed fit to hold office. So, the backup plan could well already be under way.
As well as being +500 to be the Democratic Nominee, Gavin Newsome is now +1000 to be the next President of the United States. That puts him fourth in the betting behind Biden (+150), Trump (+215), and DeSantis (+900).
Could he be the possible beneficiary if Biden is forced out or decides to call it a day? Or is it worth looking at a longer-priced candidate? It is a betting market worth keeping a close eye on.
Check out our partner table below, where you will find the best online Las Vegas sportsbooks for political betting:
