The ATP tennis tour returns to Indian Wells for the 2025 edition of the BNP Paribas Open this week, with the top players returning to action.
Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz will look to make it three wins in a row in this tournament, while world number one Jannik Sinner misses out as a result of his doping ban – leaving the door open for someone else to step in and claim victory.
We’ll take a look at the betting for the tournament and provide you with our best free tennis betting picks to see if we can earn you some extra cash while you enjoy top-level action on the court.
| Indian Wells |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | TBC | TBC | TBC |
| Novak Djokovic | TBC | TBC | TBC |
| Alexander Zverev | TBC | TBC | TBC |
| Daniil Medvedev | TBC | TBC | TBC |
| Taylor Fritz | TBC | TBC | TBC |
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Below you’ll find a list of the favorites to win the 2025 ATP Indian Wells tennis tournament.
Carlos Alcaraz had a decent year so far to date, and comes into this having won each of the last two editions of this tournament and with his biggest competition struggling.
Currently ranked at number three in the world, Alcaraz is the number two seed for this tournament and that has seen him drawn in the same quarter of the draw as rival Novak Djokovic. That means if he is going to get the win, then it will be earned the hard way.
His most recent performance saw him struggle in Qatar as he crashed out of the quarter-finals to Jiri Lehecka. But prior to that he claimed a tournament win in Rotterdam with a win over Alex de Minaur following defeat to Djokovic in the Australian Open quarter-finals.
But he does love this event with excellent performances last year that culminated with a straight sets win over Medvedev in the final for the second year in a row, and considering the form of the field you wouldn’t bet against him doing it again. He’s the best pick for success in this tournament.
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Djokovic is the 24-time grand slam champion and without a doubt one of the very best tennis players of all-time, so him being among the favorites to come out on top of this tournament really shouldn’t be a shock.
However the Serbian has struggled so far this season and hasn’t won a game since he was forced to retire in the Australian Open semi-final with a hamstring injury. His last game saw him crash out in the first round in Doha against Matteo Berrettini.
He is though, a five-time champion at this event and if Djokovic is playing at his best level then there aren’t many players in the world who can cope with him – especially on a hard surface.
So far in 2025 he has a 7-3 record and is yet to win a rankings title, but the next one will be his 100th and there is great motivation there to stop Alcaraz matching his three-peat feat from 2014-16.
You can never count Djokovic out of winning a tournament, but the fact he could meet Alcaraz in the quarter-finals is a blow. The winner of that clash could well go all the way.
Check out our review for Bovada sports betting here.
The current world number two comes into this tournament as the number one seed, giving him a big edge when it comes to getting success here.
So far this year the Russian has gone 12-4, but he has failed to go beyond the quarter-finals in any of the three tournaments he has played in since his defeat to Jannik Sinner in the final of the Australian Open.
Defeats against Francisco Cerundolo, Francisco Comesana and Learner Tien mean he isn’t coming into this tournament in the best form – but he will expect to get to the latter stages at least due to the draw.
It’s always hard to bet against the top seed, but this isn’t his best surface and there is better value on others to get the job done instead, so avoid this bet.
Daniil Medvedev is one of the top favourites for the title at Indian Wells Masters having been runner-up in each of the last two seasons, but his form this season has not been great.
With a 8-5 record over the calendar year so far Medvedev is struggling to say the least. In the Australian Open he crashed out early on in the last 64, before travelling to Rotterdam where he lost in the Round of 16. A semi-final defeat in Marseille suggested he could be returning to his good form, but he then lost in Doha in the quarter-final
Having been drawn in the same quarter of the draw as fellow-struggler Casper Ruud he will feel he has a good chance of getting to the latter stages, and then anything can happen.
But considering his current form and his potential opponents in the latter rounds, the chances of Medvedev avenging his final defeats from the last two years seems highly unlikely.
