As the Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty gear up for an epic clash in the Commissioner’s Cup, we got to crunch some numbers. Both teams are in their prime, each winning nine of their last ten games. But does this mean we’re in for a high-scoring spectacle? Not necessarily.
After reading this preview you should be eager to make any WNBA bet. Let’s look at the money line odds for this upcoming matchup.
Game Preview
First off, let’s talk about the Aces’ two-time MVP, A’ja Wilson. She’s been lighting up the court, ranking third in total points with 636 and second in total rebounds with 289. Not to mention her league-leading 65 blocks and a 92.1 defensive rating. In short, she’s a monster on both ends, but her defensive prowess could keep the scoreboard in check.
On the other side, we’ve got the Liberty’s Breanna Stewart, hot on her trail for a second MVP award. She’s second in the WNBA in total points (698) and third in total rebounds (275). However, without the services of Candace Parker, the Aces will be leaning on Wilson to lock Stewart down.
The Liberty are huge underdogs at a price of +260. This is the biggest underdog price for the Liberty all season. The implied probability of the Liberty winning this game is 27%.
I would not recommend betting on them to win this game at +260 odds at Bovada.
The Aces will also have to deal with the Liberty’s dynamic backcourt duo of Sabrina Ionescu and Courtney Vandersloot. Ionescu’s the only player in the league with over 100 three-pointers, and Vandersloot has been dishing out dimes like a bank teller with the most assists in the WNBA so far (233).
But don’t sleep on the Aces’ triumvirate of Kelsey Plum, Chelsea Gray, and Jackie Young. They’re all thriving, landing in the top 20 for total points and assists. Plus, Young’s 47.5 three-point percentage is nothing to sneeze at.
The Aces are looking to bounce back after their last loss to the Liberty. The primary reason they are so heavily favored at -320 odds. The implied probability of that price is 76%. The sportsbooks seem pretty certain the Aces are coming out on top and I agree.
I would recommend betting on the Las Vegas Aces to win on the money line at -320 odds.
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Total Points
Let’s get down to the nitty-gritty, the Aces have the best defensive rating in the game at 98.2, while the Liberty are not far behind with the third-best rating at 100.8. Despite the Aces having the fewest turnovers in the WNBA, the Liberty’s defense has been rock-solid all season.
What does all this tell us? We might be looking at a defensive masterclass rather than a points bonanza. Even though both teams have been on fire, their solid defense and the absence of key players might keep this game on the lower side of 176 total points.
So, before you put your hard-earned money on the line, take a minute to consider the under. At -110 odds, it is the savvy move for this WNBA showdown. You’ve got the facts, the stats, and the story. Now it’s time to make your move.
Buckle up, sports fans. This isn’t just a game; it’s a strategic battle, a test of grit and skill. And while we’re all for breathtaking games with points galore, this WNBA showdown might be the exception that proves the rule.
Get ready for a thrilling display of defensive prowess that could make the under the smart choice.
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