It’s pretty much as you were for the big three in the NCAAF after last weekend’s round of fixtures. All three won, and as a result, Georgia, Alabama, and Ohio State have 3-0 records.
After the previous week’s rants and shenanigans, it was a pretty routine round of fixtures. All three were expected to win comfortably, and that’s exactly what all three did. So let’s take a look at the betting to see what, if anything, has changed, and also, we will name our NCAAF betting picks for this weekend.
In the NCAAF betting odds to win the National Championship, there hasn’t been much change in the odds. Georgia Bulldogs are still the betting favorites; their odds have slightly drifted from +185 last week to +195 this week
Similarly, the Crimson Tide has drifted from +200 to +210, while Ohio State has remained the same at +350.
Clemson Tigers and USC remain on +1200, while Michigan has seen their odds drift from +1600 to +2000. This is probably because they are facing their biggest test of the season so far when they take on the Maryland Terrapins this weekend.
| NCAAF 2023 National Championship Betting |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | +195 | +195 | +195 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | +210 | +210 | +210 |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | +350 | +350 | +350 |
| Clemson Tigers | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 |
| USC | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 |
| Michigan | +2000 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Oklahoma | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
All odds are from BetOnline, you can read more about this Vegas sportsbook, and their latest betting offers in our BetOnline review. Let’s look at the big teams’ matches this weekend and see if we can find some good value NCAAF betting picks.
Both these sides are three and zero going into the match, so something has to give. Wake Forest is ranked 21, while Clemson is five. The handicap spread on the match is set at +7 in favor of Wake Forest with BetOnline, with the Deacons at -107 and the Tigers at -113.
On the Moneyline, Clemson is -265, while Wake Forest is +225. And finally, in total points, the spread is set to bang on 56.
Wake Forest has conceded a lot of points in their three NCAAF matches to date. Seventy-one, to be exact. And just last Saturday, they had to come from behind at home in the last quarter to see off a spirited Liberty Flames team by 37 points to 36.
The Deacons won’t be able to give away points like that this weekend against the Tigers, who have scored a combined 124 points this season. Clemson has conceded 42 points in the same three matches, though, so they aren’t watertight defensively.
All this suggests a high-scoring match, although things don’t always pan out that way. I’m going with form, though; the form says that the Clemson Tigers will win by more than seven, and over 56 points will also be scored.
Finally, it’s the Alabama Crimson Tide. The previous week Nick Saban announced he wasn’t bothered about the spread after his side only managed a one-point win over the Texas Longhorns.
We naturally and respectfully disagree with Saban, as we care about the spread. So we were thankful to the Crimson Tide for doing what they usually do and backing up a poor performance with a good one.
The Crimson Tide put the previous week’s poor showing behind them and took out their frustrations on the poor Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, beating them 63-7. During the one-sided win, the Crimson Tide also beat the handicap spread set at 49.5 and the total points spread of 61.5.
This week the handicap spread sits at 40.5 points, with the total points spread at 59. All four bets are priced up at NCAAF betting odds of -110 with BetOnline.
The Crimson Tide has a 3-0 record. As for the Commodores, they are 3-1, having started on Week 0. The loss came courtesy of Wake Forest in Week 2.
In total, the Commodores have conceded 114 points in their four matches. That works out at well over 25 a match on average, and bear in mind they’ve won three of them. Their defense could be a lot better.
Therefore my only question this weekend is which Alabama turns up on Sunday? Was the close win over Texas just a blip, or was last weekend’s 63-7 win the freak performance, and the Texas result is more of what we’re going to get from Alabama this season?
At this moment in time, I’m going to go with the Texas result as the freak. In their first game of the season, the Crimson Tide beat Utah State 55-0, so they’ve produced the goods in two of their three matches.
So with the Commodores’ leaky defense also a factor, I’m going for Alabama to again beat the handicap, and I’m also going for over 59 points, although I’m warmer than hot on the total points bet.
