Tonight, the No. 3 ranked Iowa State Cyclones meet their in-state rivals, the Iowa Hawkeyes, on the road at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. The teams have played 78 times, with Iowa having the better record at 49-29. The teams last met in December 2023. The Cyclones won that game by a score of 90 to 65.
Iowa State, who are in first place in the Big 12, bring a 7-1 record into tonight’s road game. Meanwhile, Iowa sports a 7-2 record. The Hawkeyes are the No. 5 team in the Big Ten.
The Cyclones are coming off a 100-58 win over Jackson State, while Iowa fell to Michigan 85-83 in their most recent outing.
Iowa State vs. Iowa NCAA Basketball Betting Trends
The Iowa State Cyclones have a 5-3 record against the spread in 2024. The team’s road record against the spread this season is 0-0, and they are 2-1 against the spread in neutral site games. The Cyclones are 4-4 in the over-under this year, they have a 3-0 mark in that stat in neutral site games in 2024. The team is 7-0 when they have been the betting favorite and 0-1 when listed as the betting underdog. Iowa State is 3-8-1 against the spread in their past 12 games against the spread vs. Iowa. Although they have not played a road game during the 2024 NCAA basketball season, the Hawkeyes have hit the under in five of their past six road games.
As for the Iowa Hawkeyes, they are 6-0 at home this season and have a season record of 7-1 when they are the betting favorite. They lost the one game in which they were listed as the betting underdog. Iowa is 5-4 against the spread this year. At home, the club has a 3-3 mark against the spread. Overall, Iowa is 5-4 when it comes to the over-under in 2024, with a home record of 4-2 in that category. Iowa has a 5-1 mark against Iowa State in their last six games at home. The teams have combined to hit the over in 12 of their past 16 contests against each other.
Iowa State was picked to finish as the No. 3 team in the Big 12 in the preseason poll, while Iowa was the No. 11 pick for the Big Ten.
The Iowa Hawkeyes have won four straight over the Iowa State Cyclones at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.
Look For a Fast Start
In their past four games the winner has been decided early. Last year, Iowa State had a double-digit point lead within the first 10 minutes and headed into halftime ahead by a score of 47-29.
In 2022, it was Iowa who put up a 24-4 lead before winning the game 75-56.
The last time an Iowa State vs. Iowa game was decided by single digits was 2017 when the Cyclones won 84-78 at home.
Iowa’s Balanced Scoring
The Hawkeyes have historically been a team that has a balanced scoring attack. The club has often ranked inside the top 20 in offensive efficiency. They are ranked No. 34 this season but have a lot of time to improve on that number.
The team’s top scorers are sophomore forward Owen Freeman, who averages 16.8 points, 7.0 rebounds, 1.6 blocks per game, and a 64.4% overall shooting percentage. Senior Payton Sandfort has an average of 16.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, 4.0 assists per game, and a 38.6% shooting percentage.
The Hawkeyes are struggling from the free-throw line with a 66.0 shooting percentage.
Iowa State’s Offense And Defense Balance
The Iowa State Cyclones are the highest-scoring team in the Big 12 this year, averaging 87.8 points per game. They are also the No. 2 team in the conference in point differential at +23. Five players on the squad are averaging double-digit points per game.
Senior guard Keshon Gilbert is the team’s top scorer with 17.4 points per game. He is hitting 54.3 percent of his field goals and 31.6 percent of his three-point attempts. Senior guard Curtis Jones averages 16.3 points per game with a field goal percentage of 46.9 percent and a three-point percentage of 40.4. Both players average more than 27 minutes per game.
The Cyclones are the No. 3 team in the Big 12 in fewest points allowed per game at 64.8.
Iowa State vs. Iowa Thursday NCAA Basketball Picks
While recent history says this game will be a blowout, one way or the other, look for a much tighter game in 2024 between Iowa and Iowa State. The betting pick is that Iowa State will win on the road, beating Iowa.
As for the total, look for a sound defensive game. The betting pick is that Iowa State and Iowa to combine for fewer than 160 points in Thursday night NCAA basketball action.
Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.