Tonight, the Maryland Terrapins (20-6, 10-5 Big Ten) look to extend a 14-game home win streak at XFNITY Center when they host the USC Trojans (14-11, 6-8 Big Ten), who are on a two-game road-game losing skid. The teams have played just three times in the past. Maryland is 3-0 in that series, with the most recent meeting being a 72-59 Terrapins win in 1990.
Maryland has not lost a home game since they fell to Marquette in the fourth game of the 2024-25 season, losing that contest 78-74. The loss is the only home setback of the year for the Terrapins. USC’s most recent road win was a 78-73 victory over Nebraska on January 22.
The USC Trojans have am 11-14-0 record against the spread this year. The team’s road record ATS is 4-2. The Trojans are 17-7-1 when it comes to over-under this year. USC’s road mark when considering both road and neutral site games this season is 3-5. The Trojans have a record of 4-8 when they enter a contest as the underdog. In comparison, the team has a 10-3 mark when they are the betting favorites. USC is 2-4 straight up in its past six outings. The Trojans and their opponents have combined to hit the over in seven of the past eight games USC has played on the road. The over has also hit in 10 of USC’s past 13 games against a Big Ten foe.
The Maryland Terrapins are 14-12 against the spread in 2024-25 with a home record of 15-1 ATS. Maryland has hit the over in nine of its past 12 games this season. The team is 12-0 straight upat XFINITY Center in its past 12 home games. The Terps are a strong 18-3 in games where they are the betting favorites while going 2-3 when they are the betting underdogs. The Terrapins and their opponents have hit the over in nine of their past 12 games. Maryland is 9-2 straight up in its past 11 Big Ten games.
USC Looking For A Leader
The Trojans lost last year’s scoring leader Boogie Ellis last year. Without Ellis, the team lacks the player who can provide a spark and give the team points when they need them.
The Terrapins are having a great year in 2024-25. The club jumped into the AP Poll in early February, marking the first time the team made the rankings since February 2023. The club is 3-1 since then with its only loss being a 73-79 setback to Ohio State on the road. As good as the team has looked, they still seem to have some work to do before they will be considered a true threat this season. A win over USC might not help them in that regard, but a loss or even an uninspired performance will hurt the Terps.
Desmond Claude is the top player for USC. He is averaging 16 points per game with a 50.2 percent shooting percentage from the floor. Claude has hit double figures in five straight games, most recently scoring 12 points in a 69-66 loss to Minnesota at home. Wesley Yates III is averaging 12.8 points per game with a shooting percentage of 47.9 percent from the floor. Yates has hit double digits in 13 straight games and recently put up a season-high 30 in a 90-72 road loss to Purdue. Chibuzo Agbo averages 12.1 points per game while shooting 40.5 percent from the floor. Agbo is coming off back-to-back games where he scored 21 and 18 points.
A potential first-round pick in the NBA draft, freshman Derik Queen leads Maryland in scoring with 16.0 points per game. He is also rebounding 8.8 times per game and shooting 54.9 percent from the floor. Queen had a career-high 29 points in a 90-81 win over Rutgers. He has hit double digits in his past five games, scoring more than 18 points in his past three outings. Ja’kobi Gillepsie has picked up his game. He is averaging 14.7 points per outing and hitting 47.1 percent from the floor. Gillespie is coming off a 26-point game in the team’s 101-75 win over Iowa. Julian Reese is another a player to watch, with 13.8 points per game and a team-leading 9.2 rebounds per contest.
USC Vs. Maryland Thursday NCAA Basketball Picks
Maryland has been nearly impossible to beat at home this year. With USC’s overall struggles, it’s hard to see the Trojans rolling into College Park and ending the Terps winning ways.
The betting pick is that Maryland will get the win at home against USC.
As for total points, the betting pick is that Maryland and USC will combine to hit the over of 153 points when they play tonight in Big Ten action at XFINITY Center.
Trent is a professional sports journalist specializing in UFC, MMA, and esports coverage. His work has been featured in prestigious publications such as USA Today Sports, Vice, Bloody Elbow, Fight! Magazine, UFC 360, and Narratively. Trent's connection to MMA dates back to the early days when he and his friends pooled their resources to purchase the pay-per-view broadcast of UFC 1. He also has extensive experience in esports, particularly League of Legends and Counter Strike, dating back to the game's launch.