The SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl will feature a clash between the USC Trojans and the Texas A&M Aggies on December 27, with kickoff scheduled for 4:30 p.m. PT. Both programs began the 2025 season with lofty expectations and top-25 rankings but have had differing paths to this matchup.
Texas A&M enters the game with an 8-4 record and is currently a 3-point favorite over USC, which sits at 6-6. The over/under for this contest is set at 51.5 points. In the College Football Vegas odds money line, the Aggies are listed at -172, while the Trojans are at +129.
What? 2024 College Football Las Vegas Bowl: USC Trojans vs. Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M heads into their matchup against USC boasting an 8-4 record. The Aggies have demonstrated strong performances at home with a 5-2 record and have been solid on the road, going 2-1. Favored in nine of their 12 contests this season, they’ve capitalized on this position with a 7-2 record as favorites, achieving an average scoring margin of +9.2 points per game. However, their performance against the spread has been less impressive, standing at 3-7 overall.
The Aggies’ over/under record is an even 5-5, with their games averaging 51.5 total points. While their average over/under line this season has been 49.6 points, the line for this game is set slightly higher at 50.5 points.
At home, Texas A&M has excelled as favorites with a 5-1 record but has faltered as underdogs, going 0-1. Against the spread, they’ve struggled as home favorites (2-4) and home underdogs (0-1). On the road, they hold a 1-2 ATS record when playing as favorites.
Offensively, the Aggies are ranked 25th in power rankings heading into this matchup, scoring an average of 30.3 points per game, placing them 38th nationally. Their rushing attack has been a standout, with 200.3 yards per game on 40.7 attempts, ranking 24th in the nation.
Defensively, Texas A&M has been formidable, allowing just 21.2 points per game, which ranks 22nd nationally. Their run defense has conceded 138.9 yards per game, while the secondary has allowed 226.9 passing yards. Opposing quarterbacks have completed only 52.8% of their passes against the Aggies’ defense, the 9th-lowest rate in the country.
USC Trojans
USC comes into their matchup against Texas A&M with a 6-6 record. The Trojans have performed well at home with a 5-1 record but have struggled on the road, going 1-4. They have been favored in nine of their 12 games this season, achieving a 5-4 record in those matchups.
Against the spread, USC has posted a 6-5 record, including a flawless 4-0 mark as home favorites. They’ve maintained an average scoring margin of +6.2 points per game and are 5-1 ATS at home.
In terms of game totals, USC’s over/under record stands at 4-6-1, with their contests averaging 53.2 total points. Their games have typically had an average over/under line of 54.2 points, slightly above this week’s 50.5-point line.
USC’s offense ranks 21st in power rankings as of Week 11 and averages 29.8 points per game, placing them 40th nationally. Quarterback Miller Moss has been pivotal, amassing 2,555 passing yards this season. The Trojans rank 5th in passing attempts per game, with Moss recording 18 touchdowns and nine interceptions for a passer rating of 91. USC is 14th in passing yards per game, averaging 291.7, and 7th in completions, while converting 44.7% of their third-down attempts.
Defensively, USC has faced challenges. In their last game against Notre Dame, the Trojans allowed 49 points in a 49-35 loss. They gave up 438 total yards, including 260 rushing yards on 37 attempts and three rushing touchdowns. Although USC held Notre Dame to 178 passing yards and forced one interception, their overall defensive struggles were evident.
For the season, USC’s defense ranks 37th nationally, allowing 23.5 points per game. However, they’ve been vulnerable in the passing game, surrendering 231.2 yards per contest, ranking 108th. Additionally, they’ve allowed 142.3 rushing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 68.1% of their passes.
2024 Las Vegas Bowl Prediction And Betting Picks
I favor the USC Trojans to emerge victorious in this matchup against Texas A&M. Not only do I anticipate a straight-up win for USC, but I also predict they will cover the spread at +3.0.
Starting out in the betting industry, Henry later found his calling in sports writing. Specializing in soccer, golf, and darts, he also offers insights into a wide array of sports across the globe. After earning a BA Honors degree in Business and Management, Henry advanced through the ranks at William Hill in England. His career isn't just limited to sports; he's also made a mark in Property and Finance, fields in which he remains engaged. Henry now resides in Barcelona, where he enjoys playing golf year-round as part of the Real Federacion Espanola de Golf.