The Detroit Lions (12-1) will host the Buffalo Bills (10-3) at Ford Field on Sunday, December 15. Detroit enters the matchup as slight 2.5-point favorites, according to Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under betting total is set at 54 points. Let’s try and find some value in the NFL Vegas odds.
Below are the odds for the match from three of the best Vegas NFL football betting sites.
| NFL Week 15 |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +120 | +121 | +120 |
| Detroit Lions | -140 | -141 | -140 |
| Buffalo Bills +2.5 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Detroit Lions -2.5 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Over 54.0 | -115 | -115 | -115 |
| Under 54.0 | -105 | -105 | -105 |
The Detroit Lions enter this matchup with an impressive 12-1 record for the season, coming off a hard-fought 34-31 victory over the Green Bay Packers. Quarterback Jared Goff delivered a solid performance. He completed 32 of 41 passes for 283 yards and three touchdowns, finishing with a quarterback rating of 109.7 despite one interception. His average yards per attempt stood at 6.9. On the ground, Jahmyr Gibbs managed 43 yards on 15 carries, averaging 2.9 yards per attempt. In the receiving game, Jameson Williams made a notable impact with five receptions for 80 yards, averaging 16.0 yards per catch.
The Lions ran the ball 34 times for 111 yards, averaging 3.3 yards per carry, and amassed 391 total yards on 75 plays (5.2 yards per play). Defensively, Detroit limited Green Bay to a 60.0% completion rate. They allowed 199 passing yards on 12 completions, while holding the Packers to 99 rushing yards on 24 carries (4.1 yards per attempt).
Detroit’s offense has been a powerhouse, leading the league with an average of 32.1 points per game. They rank 4th in passing yards, averaging 243.8 yards per game, with 3,169 total passing yards this season. On the ground, the Lions have been equally effective. They rank 2nd with an average of 151.1 rushing yards per game and 1,964 total rushing yards. Their 394.8 total yards per game place them 2nd in the NFL, though they’ve been flagged 81 times for 786 penalty yards, ranking 15th in the league.
On defense, Detroit has allowed 11 passing touchdowns and an average of 224.7 passing yards per game, ranking 23rd in that category. Against the run, they’ve been more robust, surrendering just 93.9 rushing yards per game and 12 rushing touchdowns. The Lions’ defense has been opportunistic, forcing 20 turnovers and playing the 4th-fewest snaps in the league (767). They are giving up only 18.0 points per game, making them the 3rd-ranked scoring defense in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills enter this matchup with a 10-3 record but are coming off a narrow 44-42 loss to the Los Angeles Rams. Quarterback Josh Allen completed 22 of 37 passes for 342 yards and three touchdowns without an interception, earning an impressive passer rating of 117.2. Allen also led the team in rushing with 82 yards on 10 carries, averaging 8.2 yards per attempt. Khalil Shakir was a standout in the passing game, hauling in five receptions for 106 yards, averaging a remarkable 21.2 yards per catch.
Buffalo’s ground attack managed 103 yards on 17 carries, an average of 6.1 yards per attempt. Their offense produced a total of 445 yards on 54 plays. Defensively, the Bills struggled, surrendering 320 passing yards on 23 completions and allowing 137 rushing yards on 42 attempts, averaging 3.3 yards per carry.
Buffalo averages an impressive 30.5 points per game and ranks 11th in rushing offense with 125.7 yards per game. They’ve amassed 4,615 total yards and secured 138 first downs while committing 80 penalties for 611 yards. The Bills have been relatively secure with the ball, turning it over just seven times. Offensively, they’ve scored 23 passing touchdowns and 24 rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, the Bills rank 8th in points allowed per game at 20.6. Opponents have averaged 123.1 rushing yards per game against them, with Buffalo giving up 1,600 rushing yards across 13 games. Through the air, they’ve allowed 2,716 passing yards, ranking 9th in the NFL, with an average of 208.9 yards per game and a 69.1% opponent completion rate. Overall, Buffalo’s defense ranks 14th, surrendering 332.0 total yards per game and conceding 18 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing scores.
I am predicting a close game but I think the Lions will edge this one while covering a low spread.
Feel free to read our Bovada.lv sportsbook review for much more information.
While I expect this to be high scoring, I think the total is set slightly too high. I will take under 54.0.
Below is our partner table of the top sportsbooks where you can place your NFL week 15 bets.
