The 2024 MotoGP season rolls into Italy for the seventh race of the 2024 season. Now, Mugello is an extensive circuit that features 15 turns in all. Yes, Francesco Bagnaia has won twice and Ducati bikes have won five of the previous six races here. So, Bagnaia finds himself second in the standings (39 points behind Jorge Martin). Testing tilts toward the Ducati’s but what about some longer 2024 MotoGP Italy Picks?
Yes, numbers figure to keep moving around over the weekend. We wait for what figures to be a contentious qualifying and Saturday Sprint. Can someone surprise in the sprints? Jorge Martin may not let that happen along with Marc Marquez or Pedro Acosta. In the meantime, remember these Vegas betting site bonuses, as a long break is on the horizon. Okay, it’s time for more MotoGP online betting odds:
| 2024 MotoGP Italy Numbers |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enea Bastianini | +2200 | +1800 | +2000 |
| Brad Binder | +2200 | +2000 | +2000 |
| Maverick Vinales | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 |
| Aleix Espargaro | +3300 | +3000 | +3200 |
| Jack Miller | +4000 | +4000 | +3800 |
| Marco Bezzecchi | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Alex Marquez | +4000 | +4200 | +4000 |
| Miguel Oliveira | +4000 | +4500 | +4500 |
The 2024 MotoGP Italy Picks going out the box this weekend. While the Italian course at Mugello is an intriguing one, why not consider taking a look at choices beyond the top four or five riders? Honestly, taking this at face value. Between Jorge Martin and Francesco Bagnaia, five of the six races have been won. Maverick Vinales was the only semi long shot to emerge victorious in 2024. Are we due once more?
So, the FIM course features a 5.245 kilometer layout. There are so many straightaways err straights. This is unlike the other tracks. With the 1.1+ kilometer straight, expect a bit more passing beside the normal passing zones. Now, this creates a little more potential for carnage. It is those possible wrecks which might lead to longer shots having a chance on Sunday.
Bettors need to watch the weather at Mugello. With several extremely technical turns, it would not take much to turn this race upside down. Temperatures around 75 degrees should be expected for the race. Unfortunately, increasing humidity will be on the docket as again another European location features a chance for inclement weather. Has anyone seen the French Open? That has been rough to watch with the many interruptions due to rain.
So, this may be one of those times where not going with the likes of Bagnaia, Martin, and the favorites pay off. Look at what Aleix Espargaro managed last time out as a reference point. No one is suggesting to wager a ton of money here. On the contrary, small, modest bets is a wise strategy.
Alright, Aleix Espargaro coming in kind of hot is a thing. This Spaniard gains some intrigue considering he will retire at the end of the 2024 season. He totaled 25 points last week and had chances to win either the Sprint or the main event. Vegas Sports Betting likes that he has been more consistent in sprints and races. The 2024 MotoGP Italy picks jump on that +3300 number on Bovada. How long that will number last is an excellent question?
Check out his Sprint number closer to early Saturday as that may be an avenue to explore. Even a Top 3 for the race on Sunday is a possibility. Like we mentioned, those numbers do not come out right away. They take a little time. As always, it is these little shifts that a bettor can take advantage of. Wagering a few dollars here and there is a viable strategy. Again, the next race is not for another four weeks after this weekend.
This allows riders like Espargaro the ability to just leave it all on the track. Remember, a couple of years ago, the Spanish rider had four straight podiums including on this very course. He won once in 2022 and twice in 2023 so Espargaro has tasted victory. Again, it would be a heck of a feat for the 34-year-old to net one more win before he rides off into the sunset.
Bluntly, that +3300 is hard to ignore. However, below we take even longer shots as contenders to winning on the Italian track.
2024 MotoGP Italy Picks and a Portuguese stunner. With Italy right upon us (practice has begun on Friday), one must sneak a peek at Miguel Oliveira. While the Trackhouse Racing rider has not been great this season, he has shown some previous results at Italy that will surprise.
One of the more reasonable choices is Oliveira among this tier of drivers. Now, on the big circuit, he finished second in 2021 and was contending in 2022 before a huge bobble knocked him back in the standings. Last year, the Portuguese rider was near the front when he DNF’d.
Honestly, there appear to be a few too many usual suspects here. Riders like Brad Binder (who have slumped mightily) come to mind. Even Marco Bezzecchi is a possibility in his home country. However, none have the pedigree of an Oliveira or experience. Plus, Oliveira won at Moto2 as well. At +4500, this may be one to pull the trigger on.
Taking the Espargaro on Sunday is far from foolish on Sunday. For more potential wagers (including season head-to-head wagers), examine the BetOnline Sportsbook Review. Look for those other bets to pop up too early on Saturday and as the day rolls along. Numbers move all the time.
Finally, during qualifying, look at how some of the longer shots ride the straightaway and in the passing zones. That may make for other attractive picks. Sports like MotoGP can always produce a shock or two. Good luck this weekend!
