Alright, sports fanatics, let’s chalk talk this upcoming WNBA face-off between the Las Vegas Aces and the Dallas Wings. Our money is on the Aces to secure the dub and keep the game total under the 175.5 mark. Let’s break down why.
After reading this preview, you should be eager to make any WNBA bet. Let’s look at the money line odds for this upcoming matchup.
Game Preview
The Aces are enormous favorites in this matchup. The Oddsmakers have set their money line price at -520 which indicates an implied probability of 83%. This is a near certainty when it comes to wagering.
Firstly, let’s not ignore the elephant in the room – the Aces are having a phenomenal season. Despite a recent hiccup against the New York Liberty, they remain at the top spot in ESPN’s WNBA Power Rankings. With a season like this, they’ve built a cushion that allows them to absorb a loss without toppling from their throne. That’s a power play if I’ve ever seen one.
Secondly, it’s imperative to acknowledge the Aces’ capacity to bounce back. They’ve only faced three losses this season and, in each instance, returned stronger.
A’ja Wilson, the Aces’ star, despite an uncharacteristic 2-of-14 shooting in their last game, has been a driving force for the team all season. Expect her to come back harder and more intelligent, a testament to her MVP-worthy performance this season.
The Aces are such overwhelming favorites there isn’t much value in betting on the Aces to win on the money line at the price of -520. I would not recommend betting on them to win because there’s no value in a money line price that high.
On the flip side, the Wings have been facing some turbulence. Arike Ogunbowale, the Wings’ star, was recently ejected after a hard foul, and her comments post-game could land her in some hot water with the league.
This internal drama could pull focus from their game strategy – a potential advantage for the Aces.
While the Wings are one of the better teams in the league with a 15-13 record, they are not favored to defeat the Aces. They are massive underdogs to the tune of +390 on the money line. The implied probability of +390 underdog to win outright is 20%.
I would not recommend betting on the Wings to win this game at the price of +390 at BetOnline.
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Total Points
Now, let’s talk numbers. The total of 175.5 points feels high, and that’s where the under at -110 odds comes into play. Despite their strong performance, the Aces have been known to keep their games tight and efficient, often winning by narrow margins. Their defensive strategy is on point, keeping their opponents from running up the score.
Furthermore, the Wings’ recent defensive woes were glaringly apparent in their losses to Chicago, where they gave up 104 points in each game. If they can’t tighten up their defense against a powerhouse like the Aces, it’s unlikely they’ll contribute significantly to breaching the 175.5 points total.
Lastly, let’s not ignore the Aces’ ‘size’ advantage. The Wings, one of the few teams to have beaten the Aces this season, have shown they can challenge the Aces with their size. However, the Aces have repeatedly shown that they can adapt and overcome such challenges.
The Aces are looking like a solid pick to win the game while keeping the total under 175.5 points. It’s not about safe bets or guarantees, it’s about analyzing the data, reading the room, and making an educated prediction. So, let’s see if the Aces can pull a rabbit out of their hat and keep the total under the high bar set at 175.5. Game on!
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